Skip to content

What are the odds?

January 3, 2021

Like a lot of people (including every sane person in the United States), I have something on my mind.

Yes, Georgia.

Thanks to the state of Georgia demanding a clear 50.1% of the vote win in their senate seats, the 2020 election still isn’t over. If they just went (like most states) for the most votes, rather than an actual majority, both of the current, crooked Republican senators, David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler would already be confirmed. Thanks to the Georgia rule, there’s a do over on Tuesday.  

Obviously I would like to see their Democratic opponents, Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock win, because that would tie the Senate, leaving Vice-President Harris with the deciding vote in all legislation.

The races are tight, but what are the odds? I’ve just been trying to work that out and, based on US bookie “odds” I can’t. According to bookies.com:

“Warnock, who was installed as a favorite for the first time on Saturday at -137, is now -150. Loeffler slipped further Sunday, down to +110 from +100. In the other race, the odds are exactly flipped. Republican David Perdue continues to be the favorite at -150 to Jon Ossoff’s +110, though those are the tightest odds of the current cycle.”

What the hell does that mean? How can minus 150 be good? Give me British bookies any day. I can understand 10-1 (not that great) or 4-6 (very good), but this plus and minus thing makes no sense to me.

Well, not quite. It does tell me what I already expected: despite the slim majority of Georgia voters who flipped the state for Biden, a ridiculous number of them would rather have a scandalously profiteering Republican senator than a Democratic one who might be able to help them with their health care or their kid’s student debt or recover from the pandemic collapse. They’d rather, as the old saying goes, cut off their nose to spite their face.

According to the US Census, the population of Georgia is 52% white, 32.6% black, 9.9% Hispanic, 4.4% Asian. I know all black voters don’t vote the same, nor do all Hispanics (look at bloody Florida), nor do Asians. Neither it seems do all white voters, or Biden could not have won the presidential vote in Georgia. But if those white voters, the ones who decided they’d had enough of the Tangerine Wankmaggot, had not split their votes, Ossoff and Warnock would already be on their way to the Senate.

So, what are the white voters of Georgia going to do on Tuesday? Are there really enough of them who cannot bear the thought of being represented by a black man and a Jewish man (or any Democrat)? Are the crackers going to win the day?

Surely there are enough white folks in Georgia who can see electing even one of the Republican slimeballs will guarantee legislative paralysis for four years? Who can see that and actually care? What are the odds?

C’mon, Georgians. Save your country.   

From → Columns

4 Comments
  1. krysross permalink

    we can only hope, for now. wish I was better at fighting.

  2. John Galpin permalink

    In American betting, anything with a minus sign means they are expected to win, so to win a $100 on Warnock, for example, you’d need to stake $150 if his odds were -150. The opposite is true for the non-favourites so a +150 means you’d win $150 from a $100 stake. Does my head in too…but you’ll get used to it!

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: